Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 4.765319 5.257494 5.782000 6.383166 7.053900 7.780076 8.626941
2025-12-28 4.034475 4.708725 5.472757 6.405074 7.515350 8.799274 10.402334
2026-01-04 3.483204 4.271404 5.214351 6.431280 7.968446 9.856368 12.367273
2026-01-11 3.015921 3.866124 4.934222 6.384812 8.319175 10.831687 14.377815
2026-01-18 2.616425 3.490709 4.638740 6.272249 8.562096 11.695317 16.371673
2026-01-25 2.287964 3.165142 4.364343 6.145290 8.760066 12.516346 18.426499
2026-02-01 2.019569 2.887827 4.119495 6.022440 8.939329 13.325500 20.580807
2026-02-08 1.797014 2.648740 3.898731 5.902093 9.098957 14.117309 22.822311
2026-02-15 1.626201 2.465947 3.738300 5.849367 9.349508 15.075020 25.473595
2026-02-22 1.517183 2.364681 3.689174 5.962415 9.876034 16.544644 29.225133
2026-03-01 1.390534 2.221443 3.556786 5.920127 10.131122 17.580762 32.362233
2026-03-08 1.255831 2.051125 3.361725 5.746563 10.130708 18.157453 34.721159
2026-03-15 1.156895 1.932827 3.244907 5.701845 10.367394 19.221028 38.260942
2026-03-22 1.098031 1.877235 3.229947 5.838511 10.960452 21.048506 43.700331
2026-03-29 1.040469 1.818099 3.202243 5.947459 11.513813 22.878830 49.495342
2026-04-05 0.975923 1.740041 3.131968 5.965719 11.886998 24.393049 54.874882
2026-04-12 0.907639 1.648651 3.027659 5.904071 12.085556 25.562732 59.675116
2026-04-19 0.842994 1.558239 2.916404 5.815215 12.213459 26.593908 64.340580
2026-04-26 0.784051 1.473581 2.808318 5.720490 12.315389 27.579798 69.089418
2026-05-03 0.730246 1.394363 2.703700 5.621319 12.393864 28.521351 73.914709
2026-05-10 0.687322 1.333221 2.630121 5.581604 12.604929 29.816305 79.985249
2026-05-17 0.662598 1.306914 2.626021 5.696410 13.199828 32.165361 89.587369
2026-05-24 0.626302 1.253556 2.559852 5.661448 13.422113 33.585793 96.750246